Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000921 0.000957 0.000994 0.001035 0.001078 0.001123 0.001172
2025-10-05 0.000832 0.000883 0.000937 0.000998 0.001064 0.001136 0.001219
2025-10-12 0.000786 0.000848 0.000916 0.000994 0.001083 0.001181 0.001300
2025-10-19 0.000749 0.000820 0.000898 0.000991 0.001099 0.001223 0.001376
2025-10-26 0.000715 0.000792 0.000878 0.000982 0.001107 0.001253 0.001439
2025-11-02 0.000692 0.000774 0.000868 0.000984 0.001125 0.001295 0.001517
2025-11-09 0.000665 0.000750 0.000849 0.000973 0.001128 0.001316 0.001569
2025-11-16 0.000641 0.000729 0.000832 0.000963 0.001128 0.001334 0.001617
2025-11-23 0.000632 0.000725 0.000835 0.000977 0.001160 0.001393 0.001721
2025-11-30 0.000619 0.000715 0.000830 0.000980 0.001176 0.001431 0.001800
2025-12-07 0.000600 0.000697 0.000813 0.000968 0.001173 0.001443 0.001841
2025-12-14 0.000581 0.000678 0.000796 0.000954 0.001165 0.001448 0.001871
2025-12-21 0.000566 0.000664 0.000784 0.000947 0.001168 0.001468 0.001927
2025-12-28 0.000541 0.000636 0.000754 0.000915 0.001135 0.001436 0.001903
2026-01-04 0.000529 0.000626 0.000746 0.000912 0.001141 0.001460 0.001964
2026-01-11 0.000519 0.000616 0.000739 0.000909 0.001148 0.001484 0.002028
2026-01-18 0.000507 0.000605 0.000729 0.000902 0.001147 0.001498 0.002075
2026-01-25 0.000499 0.000598 0.000725 0.000903 0.001159 0.001530 0.002154
2026-02-01 0.000488 0.000587 0.000714 0.000894 0.001155 0.001539 0.002194
2026-02-08 0.000477 0.000575 0.000703 0.000885 0.001150 0.001545 0.002230
2026-02-15 0.000475 0.000576 0.000707 0.000897 0.001179 0.001604 0.002361
2026-02-22 0.000469 0.000571 0.000705 0.000900 0.001191 0.001639 0.002452
2026-03-01 0.000459 0.000560 0.000694 0.000890 0.001184 0.001642 0.002485